Get Bad Science: Quacks, Hacks, and Big Pharma Flacks PDF

By Ben Goldacre

ISBN-10: 0865479186

ISBN-13: 9780865479180

Have you questioned how someday the media can assert that alcohol is undesirable for us and the following unashamedly run a narrative touting some great benefits of day-by-day alcohol intake? Or how a drug that's pulled off the marketplace for inflicting middle assaults ever acquired licensed within the first position? How can common readers, who aren’t doctors or Ph.D.s in biochemistry, inform what they need to be taking note of and what’s, good, simply extra bullshit?

Ben Goldacre has made some degree of revealing quack medical professionals and nutritionists, bogus credentialing courses, and biased clinical reports. He has additionally taken the media to job for its willingness to throw proof and facts out the window. yet he’s now not the following simply to inform you what’s improper. Goldacre is the following to coach you the way to judge placebo results, double-blind stories, and pattern sizes, so you might realize undesirable technology if you happen to see it. You’re approximately to consider plenty greater.

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Example text

Similarly, we sum up to min{k, 10} because if k < 10, then Maldini cannot score more than k goals in each series of penalty kicks. Exercise 2. Consider a random variable X ∈ {0, 1, 2, . 5) indeed is a probability distribution function? (b) Show that for any positive integers s and t, Pr(X > s + t|X > s) = Pr(X ≥ t). Solution: (a) It follows from ∞ t=0 ∞ t=0 Pr(X = t) = 1 that (1 − α) αt = 1. The latter involves an infinite sum of a geometric progression, which converges to (1− α) ∞ t=0 1 αt = (1 − α) 1−α =1 only if α belongs to the unit interval.

Examples (1) Suppose there are two shoemakers in a shop. The first does at best 5 shoes in a given month, whereas the second takes more time to make a shoe and hence does at most 3 shoes per month. Let X ∈ {0, 1, . . , 5} and Y ∈ {0, 1, . . 05 If the interest lies on the event B = {X > Y }, for instance, it then suffices to sum up the probabilities that appear in boldface, resulting in Pr(B) = 3/4. (2) The shop owner is a bit concerned with the amount of leather each shoemaker employs per month.

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Bad Science: Quacks, Hacks, and Big Pharma Flacks by Ben Goldacre

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