By Herbert I. Weisberg
An unique account of willful lack of knowledge and the way this precept pertains to glossy chance and statistical methods
Through a sequence of colourful tales approximately nice thinkers and the issues they selected to resolve, the writer lines the historic evolution of chance and explains how statistical equipment have helped to propel medical learn. although, the prior good fortune of data has relied on massive, planned simplifications amounting to willful lack of understanding, and this very good fortune now threatens destiny advances in medication, the social sciences, and different fields. obstacles of present tools bring about widespread reversals of clinical findings and suggestions, to the consternation of either scientists and the lay public.
Willful lack of understanding: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of concerning likelihood because the complete degree of our uncertainty. The ebook explains how statistical method, notwithstanding drastically effective and influential over the last century, is impending a difficulty. The deep and troubling divide among qualitative and quantitative modes of analysis, and among examine and perform, are reflections of this underlying challenge. the writer outlines a direction towards the re-engineering of knowledge research to aid shut those gaps and speed up medical discovery.
Willful lack of information: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty offers crucial details and novel rules that are supposed to be of curiosity to a person keen on the way forward for medical examine. The e-book is principally pertinent for execs in statistics and comparable fields, together with training and study clinicians, biomedical and social technology researchers, enterprise leaders, and policy-makers.